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Thirteen Awards Movies to Watch Out for, Oscar Do-Overs, and More From the Mailbag

January 12, 2021/ 116 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins

Sean and Amanda review part one of HBO's Tiger Woods documentary, run down the National Society of Film Critics winners, map thirteen movies to catch up on before Oscar season, refight a stack of Best Picture mistakes, and open the mailbag. Plus: Tiger directors Matthew Hamachek and Matthew Heineman.

107 films across 7 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

‘Tiger,’ Part OneHBO's two-part Tiger Woods documentary

Tiger 2021

Sean calls part one 90 minutes of highlight reel married to a father-son story, with Earl Woods playing Dr. Frankenstein to Tiger's monster. Amanda watched with her golf-obsessed husband narrating every shot. Both note it's light on scandal and heavy on golf, and they single out the final shot, a glimpse of the woman whose affair with Tiger becomes part two's story, as the film's best bit of filmmaking.

National Society of Film Critics Awardsthe season's first big critics' prize

Best Picture

Best Director

Best Actor

Best Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actress

The National Society's history of picking the 'cool kids'Sean and Amanda look back at past Best Picture winners

Parasite poster

Parasite 2019

Amanda's example of a National Society Best Picture pick that also went on to win the Oscar.

Moonlight poster

Moonlight 2016

Another case where the National Society and the Academy agreed.

Spotlight poster

Spotlight 2015

Same case: both bodies picked the same winner.

The Rider poster

The Rider 2017

The group's 2018 Best Picture, directed by Chloé Zhao, who's now the frontrunner again with Nomadland.

Lady Bird poster

Lady Bird 2017

The 2017 National Society Best Picture; the Oscar that year went to The Shape of Water.

Goodbye to Language poster

Goodbye to Language 2014

Godard's 2014 pick, Amanda's example of how far left-of-center the group can go.

Amour poster

Amour 2012

The 2012 pick, in Amanda's rundown of the group's history.

Thirteen movies to catch up on before Oscar seasonSean's playbook for the next two-plus months

One Night in Miami poster

One Night in Miami 2020

Regina King's directorial debut: one long conversation among Muhammad Ali, Sam Cooke, Jim Brown, and Malcolm X on one night in 1964. On Amazon that Friday.

Promising Young Woman poster

Promising Young Woman 2020

Writer-director Emerald Fennell and Carey Mulligan were on the show a few weeks earlier; the movie moves to VOD this week after a limited theatrical run.

The Little Things poster

The Little Things 2021

The new Denzel Washington movie, on HBO Max January 29th. Sean doesn't expect an Oscar push but is rooting for one.

Supernova poster

Supernova 2020

A small Bleecker Street drama with Colin Firth and Stanley Tucci as two lovers. Sean calls it a nice movie.

Malcolm & Marie poster

Malcolm & Marie 2021

Zendaya and John David Washington in Sam Levinson's Netflix two-hander. Sean calls it this year's 1917: the late, noisy entrant nobody had seen until everybody suddenly had. It takes aim at movie journalists, which he expects to be divisive, and he thinks it might be a little overwritten.

Judas and the Black Messiah poster

Judas and the Black Messiah 2021

HBO Max, February 12th. One of the two late arrivals Sean thinks reshapes the nominations, along with Malcolm & Marie.

Land poster

Land 2021

Robin Wright's directorial debut, in which she also stars. Theaters February 12th, also premiering at Sundance.

Minari poster

Minari 2020

Come up on the show some 20 times already; finally reaches theaters February 12th.

Nomadland poster

Nomadland 2020

The clear Best Picture frontrunner, per both hosts. Theaters February 19th.

The Mauritanian poster

The Mauritanian 2021

Kevin Macdonald's film about a man imprisoned at Guantánamo Bay awaiting trial for years. Sean thinks the movie itself is just okay but singles out Tahar Rahim's performance as a likely nominee.

Cherry poster

Cherry 2021

The Russo brothers adapting Nico Walker's autofiction novel, with Tom Holland. Theaters February 26th, Apple TV+ March 12th.

The Father poster

The Father 2020

Sean saw it at Sundance a year earlier and isn't as high on it as everyone else, though he agrees Anthony Hopkins is a lock for a Best Actor nomination. Sony Pictures Classics, notoriously hard to see.

Oscar Do-Oversmailbag: which Oscar win would you correct?

Best Picture, 2010

Best Picture, 1989

Best Picture, 1990

Best Picture, 1994

Best Picture, 2005

Best Picture, 2011

Best Picture, 2018

Best Picture, 1976

Best Picture, 1988

Best Actor, 1974

The MailbagSean and Amanda, with Bobby Wagner reading listener questions

Hillbilly Elegy poster

Hillbilly Elegy 2020

Amanda's aside during the Pacino discussion: dread at the inevitable campaign to finally give Glenn Close an Oscar for this one.

Full Metal Jacket poster

Full Metal Jacket 1987

Sean's answer for best 50 percent of a movie: the Parris Island first hour, with R. Lee Ermey's drill sergeant grinding the recruits down, is the most-cited great first half in movies.

A Star Is Born poster

A Star Is Born 2018

Amanda's best-half pick: everything up through the first performance of 'Shallow' is dynamite, Dave Chappelle's odd cameo included.

Sullivan's Travels poster

Sullivan's Travels 1941

Sean's answer on directors who might get lost to streaming: Preston Sturges's foremost classic, hard to find and with no restoration push behind it.

The Lady Eve poster

The Lady Eve 1941

Sean's runner-up Sturges pick, right behind Sullivan's Travels.

Casablanca poster

Casablanca 1942

Bobby admits he's seen it once, in college, and it isn't important to him, which horrifies Sean and Amanda enough that they assign it as homework. It resurfaces later as Amanda's ultimate comfort movie.

Yojimbo poster

Yojimbo 1961

Named in passing as the film that introduced Mifune's Sanjuro character.

Sanjuro poster

Sanjuro 1962

Sean rewatched it recently; part of his answer, alongside Toshiro Mifune, to the favorite pre-1960 movie star question.

Bringing Up Baby poster

Bringing Up Baby 1938

Amanda rewatched this Hepburn-Grant screwball comedy the week before; she's partial to the chemistry even if it's not her single favorite performance from either star.

His Girl Friday poster

His Girl Friday 1940

Amanda's pure favorite of Cary Grant's performances.

The Awful Truth poster

The Awful Truth 1937

Named alongside His Girl Friday and Bringing Up Baby as one of Grant's best.

Holiday poster

Holiday 1938

The listener's question was inspired by the Criterion Cary Grant collection; Amanda notes Holiday had been out of circulation until Criterion picked it up.

To Catch a Thief poster

To Catch a Thief 1955

Sean loves this one too, and later picks its French Riviera set as the movie set he'd most like to visit: hanging out with Cary Grant while Grace Kelly is being courted by Prince Rainier.

Gunga Din poster

Gunga Din 1939

Sean's evidence that Grant could have been an action star if he'd wanted to be.

Only Angels Have Wings poster

Only Angels Have Wings 1939

One of the wartime-adjacent films Grant made instead of continuing purely as an action star.

Penny Serenade poster

Penny Serenade 1941

The film at the center of a Pretend It's a City anecdote: Fran Lebowitz calls it Penny Arcade, Scorsese corrects her, then claims it was Grant's only Oscar nomination. Sean fact-checks that last part as wrong.

None But the Lonely Heart poster

None But the Lonely Heart 1944

Grant's other Best Actor nomination, which Scorsese forgot: an obscure film few people have seen.

Dial M for Murder poster

Dial M for Murder 1954

Sean's wife Eileen's favorite movie, by his best guess, and one he'd mentioned back on the show's Hitchcock episode.

The Thin Man poster

The Thin Man 1934

Eileen's other longtime favorite, per Sean.

Pretty Woman poster

Pretty Woman 1990

Amanda's guessed (and wrong, by Zach's account) answer for his favorite movie.

The Philadelphia Story poster

The Philadelphia Story 1940

One of the classic films Amanda and Zach watched together early in their relationship.

Reds poster

Reds 1981

Amanda and Zach's failed attempt to watch together. They never finished it.

Michael Clayton poster

Michael Clayton 2007

Zach refused to rewatch this with Amanda during their George Clooney Hall of Fame episode and instead reenacted it, yelling 'I am Shiva, the god of death' repeatedly.

Trolls World Tour poster

Trolls World Tour 2020

Sean's guess for a genuine VOD hit this year, based on iTunes and Amazon charts.

Tenet poster

Tenet 2020

Another likely VOD chart-topper, per Sean.

The Croods: A New Age poster

The Croods: A New Age 2020

Named alongside Trolls World Tour and Tenet as a probable VOD hit with no reliable tracking.

Wonder Woman 1984 poster

Wonder Woman 1984 2020

Referenced via 'the whole Wonder Woman 1984 meltdown' over the studio not releasing box office or streaming numbers.

Ocean's Eleven poster

Ocean's Eleven 2001

Amanda's pick for a movie set she'd want to visit: the Soderbergh version, for the fun of hanging out with 'cool people.'

Eyes Wide Shut poster

Eyes Wide Shut 1999

Sean's pick: a long, secretive shoot with two of his favorite stars in the midst of their own marriage, making a film about a marriage's possible dissolution.

On the Count of Three poster

On the Count of Three 2021

Amanda's most-anticipated Sundance title: comedian Jerrod Carmichael's directorial debut.

Passing poster

Passing 2021

Sean's most-anticipated: Rebecca Hall's directorial debut, starring Tessa Thompson, Ruth Negga, André Holland, Alexander Skarsgård, and Bill Camp, based on the Nella Larsen novella.

In the Same Breath poster

In the Same Breath 2021

A Nanfu Wang documentary about the pandemic, from the director of One Child Nation. Another Sundance breakout Sean says he couldn't recommend more, though it's devastating.

The Sparks Brothers poster

The Sparks Brothers 2021

Amanda's other pick: Edgar Wright's long-awaited documentary about the band Sparks.

Singin' in the Rain poster

Singin' in the Rain 1952

One of Sean's ultimate comfort movies, joyful in a way he puts on often.

True Romance poster

True Romance 1993

Sean's other kind of comfort movie: not soothing, exactly, but the one he turns to when he doesn't want to think.

Clerks poster

Clerks 1994

Sean watched this constantly from 1996 through 2004; a comfort rewatch.

12 Monkeys poster

12 Monkeys 1995

Sean's 1 a.m. insomnia rewatch the night before recording.

All the President's Men poster

All the President's Men 1976

Also one of Sean's comfort movies, not soothing exactly, but comforting in the sense that 'they're gonna get the job done.'

Network poster

Network 1976

Also on Sean's comfort list, alongside True Romance, Clerks, and The Big Lebowski.

The Wife poster

The Wife 2017

Named in passing twice: once as another hard-to-see Sony Pictures Classics release, once in a bit of mailbag nostalgia alongside A Star Is Born.

Marriage Story poster

Marriage Story 2019

Named alongside The Wife and A Star Is Born in the same bit of mailbag nostalgia.

Sweet Smell of Success poster

Sweet Smell of Success 1957

Sean's example of how daring Burt Lancaster could be, willing to be hated on screen.

In conversation

Matthew Hamachek and Matthew Heineman on

Tiger 2021

The directors describe three months of trust-building to land subjects like Tiger's first girlfriend Dina Gravell and Navy course manager Joe Grohman, the two archival finds they consider most important (Earl Woods's 1996 Haskins Award speech and Gravell's home video of a teenage Tiger dancing), and why they wanted Tiger to have a 'voice' in the film even though he declined to participate.

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

TV The Last DanceO.J.: Made in AmericaPretend It's a CityPublic SpeakingWandaVisionThe Queen's GambitThe Year Without a Santa ClausThe Crown

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