Judas and the Black Messiah 2021
Six nominations, including a genuinely surprising Best Supporting Actor nod for LaKeith Stanfield alongside co-star Daniel Kaluuya, two supporting nominees from a film with two leads.
The Big Picture · Discussion · Rankings
March 15, 2021/ 63 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins
Sean and Amanda go through the 93rd Academy Award nominations morning by morning: LaKeith Stanfield's shock supporting-actor nod, Thomas Vinterberg bumping Aaron Sorkin for director, the shutouts for Da 5 Bloods, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, and One Night in Miami, then a power ranking of the Best Picture field with six weeks to go.
33 films across 4 segments.
AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.
The Best Picture Surprises93rd Academy Awards nominations morning
Six nominations, including a genuinely surprising Best Supporting Actor nod for LaKeith Stanfield alongside co-star Daniel Kaluuya, two supporting nominees from a film with two leads.
A Sundance 2020 title almost nobody had actually seen going into nomination morning; recency bias worked in its favor.
One of the eight Best Picture nominees; the real surprise attached to it was Aaron Sorkin missing a Best Director nomination.
Six nominations, including Youn Yuh-jung for supporting actress and Lee Isaac Chung for director, expected but welcome nonetheless.
Thomas Vinterberg's surprise Best Director nomination knocked out the presumed Sorkin slot.
Ten nominations, the most of any film this year.
Maria Bakalova's supporting actress nomination, plus a Best Adapted Screenplay nod for a movie that's largely improvised.
Ramin Bahrani's Netflix film picked up a surprise Best Adapted Screenplay nomination.
"Husavik" landed a Best Original Song nomination.
The Netflix documentary that wrecked a lot of people during lockdown; not either host's pick, but they get why it connected.
The Snubs
Left out of Best Picture despite three acting nominations; Viola Davis, Chadwick Boseman, and George C. Wolfe's staging couldn't carry it in.
Also shut out of Best Picture; Regina King didn't get a director nomination either, despite praise for how she handles her four leads.
Delroy Lindo's total shutout, save a score nomination, is the sorest spot on the whole slate for both hosts.
Jodie Foster won a Golden Globe for this and was widely expected in supporting actress; she's not here.
Four nominations, but nothing for Tom Hanks, Paul Greengrass, or Helena Zengel.
Glenn Close got in for this; Amy Adams did not, which both hosts count as a relief.
One of Sean's favorite films of the year, skipped by the documentary branch, likely because almost nobody saw it since it landed on Apple TV+.
Also shut out of documentary; too formally strange for that branch, in Sean's read.
What Happens the Next Six Weeks
The presumptive Best Picture winner; Chloe Zhao could become the first person to win four Oscars in one night, for picture, director, adapted screenplay, and editing.
Ten nominations, warm reviews, no enthusiasm. With no editing or original screenplay nod, this could be a repeat of The Irishman's zero-win night.
Ryan Coogler's first Oscar nomination, as a producer; Sean reads it as an early Spielberg-esque career turn.
Five nominations that Sean thinks really add up to one real shot, for Emerald Fennell's original screenplay.
Six nominations for a film that premiered at Toronto back in 2019 and built its support slowly online; Amanda's still not sure why it clicked this hard.
Vanessa Kirby's lone nomination for the film; a win here would stun both hosts.
Andra Day's nomination is its only one.
Power-Ranking Best Pictureleast to most likely to win, per Sean
Also mentioned raised along the way
Best Picture history discussed ParasiteOnce Upon a Time in HollywoodGreen BookMoonlightLa La LandThe Shape of Water1917RomaThe IrishmanMarriage StoryFirst CowNever Rarely Sometimes Always
Fincher's other films discussed The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonSe7enThe Social Network
Other streamers' nominations WolfwalkersGreyhoundSoul
In passing Phantom ThreadBad Boys for LifePride & PrejudiceZack Snyder's Justice League
Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads
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