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The Snubs and Surprises of the Academy Award Nominations

March 15, 2021/ 63 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins

Sean and Amanda go through the 93rd Academy Award nominations morning by morning: LaKeith Stanfield's shock supporting-actor nod, Thomas Vinterberg bumping Aaron Sorkin for director, the shutouts for Da 5 Bloods, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, and One Night in Miami, then a power ranking of the Best Picture field with six weeks to go.

33 films across 4 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

The Best Picture Surprises93rd Academy Awards nominations morning

Judas and the Black Messiah poster

Judas and the Black Messiah 2021

Six nominations, including a genuinely surprising Best Supporting Actor nod for LaKeith Stanfield alongside co-star Daniel Kaluuya, two supporting nominees from a film with two leads.

The Father poster

The Father 2020

A Sundance 2020 title almost nobody had actually seen going into nomination morning; recency bias worked in its favor.

The Trial of the Chicago 7 poster

The Trial of the Chicago 7 2020

One of the eight Best Picture nominees; the real surprise attached to it was Aaron Sorkin missing a Best Director nomination.

Minari poster

Minari 2020

Six nominations, including Youn Yuh-jung for supporting actress and Lee Isaac Chung for director, expected but welcome nonetheless.

Another Round poster

Another Round 2020

Thomas Vinterberg's surprise Best Director nomination knocked out the presumed Sorkin slot.

Mank poster

Mank 2020

Ten nominations, the most of any film this year.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm poster

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm 2020

Maria Bakalova's supporting actress nomination, plus a Best Adapted Screenplay nod for a movie that's largely improvised.

The White Tiger poster

The White Tiger 2021

Ramin Bahrani's Netflix film picked up a surprise Best Adapted Screenplay nomination.

My Octopus Teacher poster

My Octopus Teacher 2020

The Netflix documentary that wrecked a lot of people during lockdown; not either host's pick, but they get why it connected.

The Snubs

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom poster

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 2020

Left out of Best Picture despite three acting nominations; Viola Davis, Chadwick Boseman, and George C. Wolfe's staging couldn't carry it in.

One Night in Miami poster

One Night in Miami 2020

Also shut out of Best Picture; Regina King didn't get a director nomination either, despite praise for how she handles her four leads.

Da 5 Bloods poster

Da 5 Bloods 2020

Delroy Lindo's total shutout, save a score nomination, is the sorest spot on the whole slate for both hosts.

The Mauritanian poster

The Mauritanian 2021

Jodie Foster won a Golden Globe for this and was widely expected in supporting actress; she's not here.

News of the World poster

News of the World 2020

Four nominations, but nothing for Tom Hanks, Paul Greengrass, or Helena Zengel.

Hillbilly Elegy poster

Hillbilly Elegy 2020

Glenn Close got in for this; Amy Adams did not, which both hosts count as a relief.

Boys State poster

Boys State 2020

One of Sean's favorite films of the year, skipped by the documentary branch, likely because almost nobody saw it since it landed on Apple TV+.

Dick Johnson Is Dead poster

Dick Johnson Is Dead 2020

Also shut out of documentary; too formally strange for that branch, in Sean's read.

What Happens the Next Six Weeks

Nomadland poster

Nomadland 2020

The presumptive Best Picture winner; Chloe Zhao could become the first person to win four Oscars in one night, for picture, director, adapted screenplay, and editing.

Mank poster

Mank 2020

Ten nominations, warm reviews, no enthusiasm. With no editing or original screenplay nod, this could be a repeat of The Irishman's zero-win night.

Judas and the Black Messiah poster

Judas and the Black Messiah 2021

Ryan Coogler's first Oscar nomination, as a producer; Sean reads it as an early Spielberg-esque career turn.

Promising Young Woman poster

Promising Young Woman 2020

Five nominations that Sean thinks really add up to one real shot, for Emerald Fennell's original screenplay.

Sound of Metal poster

Sound of Metal 2019

Six nominations for a film that premiered at Toronto back in 2019 and built its support slowly online; Amanda's still not sure why it clicked this hard.

Pieces of a Woman poster

Pieces of a Woman 2020

Vanessa Kirby's lone nomination for the film; a win here would stun both hosts.

Power-Ranking Best Pictureleast to most likely to win, per Sean

Nomadland poster
No. 1

Nomadland 2020

No. 1 - the consensus front-runner for three months running.

Minari poster
No. 2

Minari 2020

No. 2 - still winning people over as more of them see it.

Mank poster
No. 8

Mank 2020

No. 8 - Sean's call; Amanda would move it up to sixth.

Also mentioned raised along the way

Best Picture history discussed ParasiteOnce Upon a Time in HollywoodGreen BookMoonlightLa La LandThe Shape of Water1917RomaThe IrishmanMarriage StoryFirst CowNever Rarely Sometimes Always

Fincher's other films discussed The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonSe7enThe Social Network

Other streamers' nominations WolfwalkersGreyhoundSoul

In passing Phantom ThreadBad Boys for LifePride & PrejudiceZack Snyder's Justice League

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

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