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The Seven "on the Bubble" Oscar Contenders. Plus: #ReleaseTheSnyderCut ... or Something | The Oscars Show

November 19, 2019/ 112 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins

Seven Best Picture bubble contenders, a Stock Up/Stock Down on Charlie's Angels and the Snyder Cut discourse, an early Best Cinematography read, and Scott Z. Burns on directing The Report.

29 films across 4 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

The Seven "on the Bubble" Oscar Contenderswith a shortened season, who's actually got a shot

Ford v Ferrari poster

Ford v Ferrari 2019

Opened to $31 million, soft against past Novembers but proof the James Mangold racing drama has adult-audience legs. Sean and Amanda see a Best Picture slot but call Christian Bale's Best Actor case an uphill climb in a stacked field, and doubt Mangold cracks the five directing slots.

Waves poster

Waves 2019

Trey Edward Shults' family drama split the room: Amanda was overwhelmed by it, Sean found it style over substance. Sterling K. Brown looks like the clearest nomination path, in Best Supporting Actor.

Honey Boy poster

Honey Boy 2019

Shia LaBeouf plays a version of his own abusive father; Noah Jupe and Lucas Hedges play LaBeouf at different ages. Box office dropped off fast in week two, and Sean isn't convinced enough voters will seek it out.

The Report poster

The Report 2019

Scott Z. Burns' directorial debut, with Adam Driver as Senate staffer Daniel Jones investigating the CIA torture program. Sean calls Annette Bening's Dianne Feinstein the film's best nomination shot, despite a thin part.

Dark Waters poster

Dark Waters 2019

Todd Haynes' DuPont-poisoning docudrama, with Mark Ruffalo as the lawyer who took on the company. Sean recommends it but doesn't think it's really on the bubble anymore: too bleak for Oscar voters, even with a strong Bill Camp performance.

The Banker poster

The Banker 2020

Apple TV+'s awards bid: Samuel L. Jackson and Anthony Mackie as Black entrepreneurs who buy a bank in the Jim Crow South, using Nicholas Hoult as their white front man. Amanda calls it purely watchable; Sean floats a lightweight Best Supporting Actor case for Jackson.

Bombshell poster

Bombshell 2019

Jay Roach's Fox News docudrama, with Charlize Theron as Megyn Kelly, Nicole Kidman as Gretchen Carlson, and Margot Robbie as a composite character. Both predict four nominations: picture, actress, supporting actress, and original screenplay.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Charlie's Angels poster

Charlie's Angels 2019

Elizabeth Banks' reboot flopped hard: $8.5 million on 3,500 screens. Amanda blames a marketing push aimed at kids and general reboot fatigue; Kristen Stewart got the only real praise.

The Good Liar poster

The Good Liar 2019

Ian McKellen and Helen Mirren con-artist thriller from Bill Condon that pivots into an elder-care drama neither host expected. $5.6 million opening; Sean recommends Condon's Gods and Monsters instead.

Earthquake Bird poster

Earthquake Bird 2019

Alicia Vikander thriller set in Japan, from the director of Still Alice, that went straight to Netflix with almost no notice. Neither host thinks it works.

Justice League poster

Justice League 2017

Gal Gadot, Ben Affleck, and Ray Fisher all tweeted #ReleaseTheSnyderCut on the two-year anniversary of the theatrical cut's release. Sean reads it as a sign that an alternate Zack Snyder edit really exists, though he's skeptical it would actually be good.

The Big Race: Best Cinematography

Joker poster

Joker 2019

DP Lawrence Sher won the Golden Frog at Camera Image, following the Golden Lion in Venice. Sean expects the win to help drag Joker to picture, actor, and a pile of below-the-line nominations.

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood poster

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 2019

Robert Richardson's ninth nomination looks likely, for recreating 1969 Hollywood with unusual stillness for a Tarantino movie.

The Irishman poster

The Irishman 2019

Rodrigo Prieto shot around Scorsese's de-aging technology. Amanda prefers the film's mood and story to its look, and isn't as big a fan of Prieto's style as Sean is.

The Lighthouse poster

The Lighthouse 2019

Jarin Blaschke's black-and-white, boxy-aspect-ratio photography is the kind of showy work this category tends to reward, though a nomination would be a surprise given the film's scale.

1917 poster

1917 2019

Roger Deakins (14 nominations, one win, for Blade Runner 2049) shooting Sam Mendes' one-take World War I film. Sean calls this the movie "created to get Deakins a second Oscar."

The Two Popes poster

The Two Popes 2019

César Charlone, zero prior nominations, won the Silver Frog at the same Camera Image festival.

A Hidden Life poster

A Hidden Life 2019

Shot by Jörg Widmer, Terrence Malick's longtime camera operator making his own DP debut; zero prior nominations.

Jojo Rabbit poster

Jojo Rabbit 2019

Shot by Mihai Mălaimare Jr., who also shot The Master; zero prior nominations.

Parasite poster

Parasite 2019

Shot by Hong Kyung-pyo; zero prior nominations.

The Lion King poster

The Lion King 2019

Caleb Deschanel (six nominations, no wins) shot the photorealistic remake despite it being entirely digital, no live animals or landscapes. Sean thinks his name recognition could carry a nomination anyway.

Little Women poster

Little Women 2019

Yorick Le Saux, zero prior nominations. Amanda calls the look understated but painterly, good at conveying the four sisters talking over each other.

In conversation

The Report poster
Scott Z. Burns on

The Report 2019

Burns describes tracking down Daniel Jones (the real-life Senate staffer behind the 6,700-page torture report) by cold-calling Dianne Feinstein's office, and giving him the pseudonym "Neil Marcus" during production for privacy Jones said he didn't need. Shot in 26 days, largely out of order.

Wild Tales poster
Scott Z. Burns on

Wild Tales 2014

The anthology film Burns says he and Soderbergh both loved: its structure directly inspired The Laundromat.

The Laundromat poster
Scott Z. Burns on

The Laundromat 2019

Burns and Soderbergh's Panama Papers comedy, turning the real law firm's founders into Wild Tales-style game-show-host narrators. Burns calls it a reaction against exhaustion from researching The Report.

Contagion poster
Scott Z. Burns on

Contagion 2011

Named as one of several prior Burns-Soderbergh collaborations.

The Informant! poster
Scott Z. Burns on

The Informant! 2009

The earlier Burns-Soderbergh collaboration whose semi-farcical tone he originally wanted for The Report, before it became a straighter drama.

Parasite poster
Scott Z. Burns on

Parasite 2019

Burns names it the last great thing he's seen, from a Telluride screening: Bong Joon-ho's most complete film, he says, and a spiritual companion to The Laundromat's income-inequality themes.

Also mentioned raised along the way

Also in the Oscar conversation Marriage StoryViceZero Dark ThirtyBeasts of the Southern WildGet OutBlack PantherFrozen IIQueen & SlimKnives OutFantastic Beasts: The Crimes of GrindelwaldThor: RagnarokThe FarewellAladdinDoctor SleepBird BoxIn Fabric

1970s touchstones and inspirations All the President's MenThe Parallax ViewSerpicoSilkwoodMary PoppinsThe Graduate

In passing The GriftersThe American PresidentA Civil ActionErin BrockovichGods and MonstersI, TonyaThe Wolf of Wall StreetLong ShotMan of SteelBatman v Superman: Dawn of JusticeThe Way BackTomb Raider

Cinematographer filmographies, rattled off Inglourious BasterdsDjango UnchainedBorn on the Fourth of JulyPlatoonHugoThe AviatorJFKThe Shawshank RedemptionFargoKundunO Brother, Where Art Thou?The Man Who Wasn't ThereNo Country for Old MenThe Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert FordThe ReaderTrue GritSkyfallPrisonersUnbrokenSicarioBlade Runner 2049SilenceBrokeback MountainThe MasterThe HangoverThe Hangover Part III Love You, ManThe DictatorWar DogsThe Right StuffThe NaturalFly Away HomeThe PatriotThe Passion of the ChristNever Look Away

Scott Burns talked about Charlie Wilson's WarTriumph of the WillDay for NightThe State of Things

Teased for next episode A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

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