The Full Picture

The Big Picture · Discussion · Interview

The Oscars Aftermath Mailbag, Plus Neil Jordan on ‘Greta’ | Interview (Ep. 132)

February 28, 2019/ 71 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins

Sean and Amanda dig through a reader mailbag on the 91st Oscars' ratings bump, the preferential ballot, and the Green Book win, then Neil Jordan stops by to talk about directing Isabelle Huppert in Greta.

67 films across 8 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

The Ratings Autopsyreader mailbag

Black Panther poster

Black Panther 2018

Sean's steelman for even higher ratings: a win might have signaled the show taking a younger audience seriously.

Bohemian Rhapsody poster

Bohemian Rhapsody 2018

Its opening Queen medley gets some credit for the ratings bump.

Green Book poster

Green Book 2018

The eventual Best Picture winner; not knowing it would win until the last moment is one theory for the uptick.

Spider-Man: Far From Home poster

Spider-Man: Far From Home 2019

Half-joking bait for Amanda's 15-year-old sister (a Tom Holland fan) to actually watch next year.

Best Picture Math: Tentpoles and Endings

The Lion King poster

The Lion King 2019

Jon Favreau's remake, floated as the kind of blockbuster the Academy might start giving "respectability" to.

Avengers: Endgame poster

Avengers: Endgame 2019

Sean doesn't think the franchise-closer will actually get nominated.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker poster

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 2019

Untitled "Episode IX" at the time of recording; Sean predicts a nomination as the trilogy's closer, the way Return of the King got in for Lord of the Rings.

The Irishman poster

The Irishman 2019

Netflix's awards-season centerpiece, reportedly getting a real theatrical push this time.

The Departed poster

The Departed 2006

Scorsese's prior Best Picture win, name-checked since The Irishman feels like a rerun of that same moment.

Dogs and the Expanded Best Picture Field

Widows poster

Widows 2018

The dog-montage question is really a plug for the movie, and for Olivia the dog specifically.

Moonlight poster

Moonlight 2016

The expanded field's one real surprise winner, looking more anomalous than ever next to Green Book.

Lady Bird poster

Lady Bird 2017

Amanda's example of a film she's glad made it in under the eight-nominee system.

Recasting Past Best Picture Winnerswhat a stricter five-nominee, non-preferential ballot might have changed

Birdman poster

Birdman 2014

Their test case for a film that could have won on a plurality rather than a majority.

Boyhood poster

Boyhood 2014

The film they think had the passionate second-place support to flip that year.

La La Land poster

La La Land 2016

Sean thinks its cluster of support, not consensus, is what pushed Moonlight to the win.

12 Years a Slave poster

12 Years a Slave 2013

One of the last true neck-and-neck races, alongside Gravity.

Philomena poster

Philomena 2013

Cited as a film that wouldn't have been nominated in a five-slot field.

Roma poster

Roma 2018

Sean says he'd have put it at No. 1 on his own hypothetical ballot regardless of its odds.

The Dark Knight poster

The Dark Knight 2008

The "generational wound" question: Amanda doesn't buy that a nomination would have changed the show's audience.

Early 2020 Oscar Speculation"wild, baseless speculation just based on names and a logline"

Queen & Slim poster

Queen & Slim 2019

Melina Matsoukas's directorial debut, starring Daniel Kaluuya.

The King poster

The King 2019

Timothée Chalamet as Henry V, from David Michod.

The Goldfinch poster

The Goldfinch 2019

John Crowley's adaptation; Amanda is 78 pages into the novel.

Rocketman poster

Rocketman 2019

The Elton John biopic; Sean has doubts.

The Woman in the Window poster

The Woman in the Window

Expected as a 2019 release at the time of this taping (it was ultimately delayed to 2021); the Dan Mallory/AJ Finn scandal loomed over its chances.

The Girl on the Train poster

The Girl on the Train 2016

Cited as an underwhelming precedent for a Woman in the Window-style thriller.

Harriet poster

Harriet 2019

Kasi Lemmons's Harriet Tubman biopic starring Cynthia Erivo.

Little Women poster

Little Women 2019

Greta Gerwig's adaptation; one of Sean's most anticipated of the year.

Snubs, Campaigns, and New Categories

Sorry to Bother You poster

Sorry to Bother You 2018

Boots Riley's film, raised as an example of a movie that couldn't compete without a campaign budget.

The Favourite poster

The Favourite 2018

Olivia Colman's film; proof, per Sean, that a real campaign still mattered even for a winner who barely campaigned herself.

Blindspotting poster

Blindspotting 2018

Sean's example for a "best scene" category: he didn't love the film overall but loved a few scenes in it.

Glenn Close, Repeat Winners, and What's Next

The Wife poster

The Wife 2017

Close's nominated film. She was the prohibitive favorite despite it being nearly impossible to see before January.

Moonstruck poster

Moonstruck 1987

Sean's model for where Lady Gaga's career could go: Cher bounced between music and acting for decades.

In Conversation: Neil Jordan

Greta poster
Neil Jordan on

Greta 2019

Jordan's paranoid thriller starring Isabelle Huppert and Chloë Grace Moretz; he reframed the script as an urban Hansel and Gretel once Huppert signed on.

The Crying Game poster
Neil Jordan on

The Crying Game 1992

One of the films Sean calls out as a personal favorite; Jordan says the anniversaries keep sneaking up on him.

The Good Thief poster
Neil Jordan on

The Good Thief 2002

Sean's other personal favorite from Jordan's filmography.

Michael Collins poster
Neil Jordan on

Michael Collins 1996

Jordan's answer when asked about a genre he's already tackled: his one war movie.

Angel poster
Neil Jordan on

Angel 1982

Jordan's directorial debut.

The Company of Wolves poster
Neil Jordan on

The Company of Wolves 1984

His first fairy-tale film, drawn from Angela Carter's reworking of familiar stories.

Mona Lisa poster
Neil Jordan on

Mona Lisa 1986

Jordan's own reference point for Greta: a noirish thriller, though less of a "slushy, stalkery" one.

Rebecca poster
Neil Jordan on

Rebecca 1940

The only Hitchcock film Jordan says he actually thought about while making Greta.

Vertigo poster
Neil Jordan on

Vertigo 1958

The other Hitchcock film he sees sharing Rebecca's register of doomed romanticism.

Repulsion poster
Neil Jordan on

Repulsion 1965

Polanski's claustrophobia study, a touchstone for Greta's locked-room dread.

The Vanishing poster
Neil Jordan on

The Vanishing 1988

George Sluizer's film, another claustrophobia reference point Sean brings up.

Interview with the Vampire poster
Neil Jordan on

Interview with the Vampire 1994

Nearing its 25th anniversary at the time of this conversation; Jordan recently rewatched it with an audience.

Excalibur poster
Neil Jordan on

Excalibur 1981

John Boorman's film. Working on its final draft as Boorman's assistant is how Jordan got into movies.

Velvet Buzzsaw poster
Neil Jordan on

Velvet Buzzsaw 2019

Jordan's example of a well-made film that vanished the day it dropped on Netflix.

Chinatown poster
Neil Jordan on

Chinatown 1974

Jordan's pick for a screenplay that reads like a great novel someone forgot to write.

Citizen Kane poster
Neil Jordan on

Citizen Kane 1941

His answer for the best screenplay ever written.

Sex, Lies, and Videotape poster
Neil Jordan on

Sex, Lies, and Videotape 1989

Cited as the film that kicked off the independent film boom Jordan came up in.

Pulp Fiction poster
Neil Jordan on

Pulp Fiction 1994

The film Jordan says that same indie boom "peaked" with.

A Quiet Place poster
Neil Jordan on

A Quiet Place 2018

Jordan's pick for the last great thing he's seen, praised for its simplicity and its brutal opening.

First Reformed poster
Neil Jordan on

First Reformed 2017

The other recent film he calls truly special, for Paul Schrader's refusal to move the camera.

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

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