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The 2022 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win and Who Should

March 24, 2022/ 100 min/ Sean Fennessey · Joanna Robinson

Sean Fennessey and Joanna Robinson fill out their ballots for all 23 categories at the 94th Academy Awards, days after Coda's PGA win turned Best Picture into a real two-horse race with The Power of the Dog. They split on the top prize (Robinson stays with Coda, Fennessy takes Power of the Dog) but agree Dune should win it, and call a Dune sweep of the below-the-line categories: sound, editing, production design, cinematography, score, and visual effects. They also split on Best Original Song, Best Documentary Short, and both screenplay categories. First, a rundown of what to expect from Sunday's truncated telecast.

122 films across 2 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

Coda vs. The Power of the Dogthe PGA win and the state of the race

CODA poster

CODA 2021

Swept Sundance (Grand Jury Prize, Best Director, an acting prize, the Audience Award), then got a quiet August 2021 release before its Apple-funded campaign turned it into a genuine Best Picture threat. Its PGA win predicted seven of the last ten Best Picture winners; Robinson says she was 'on the Coda surge' before Bill Simmons was.

The Power of the Dog poster

The Power of the Dog 2021

The presumed front-runner for months, and Netflix's latest shot at a Best Picture it's never won despite backing Roma, Marriage Story, and The Irishman. Both hosts think it's a genuinely strong film even as they debate whether Coda's late surge has overtaken it.

The predictions, category by categorywill win · all 23 categories at the 94th Academy Awards

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Best Costume Design

Best Film Editing

Best Production Design

Best Cinematography

Best Original Score

Best Original Song

Best International Feature Film

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Actress

Best Actor

Best Director

Also mentioned raised along the way

Netflix's Best Picture campaign history RomaMarriage StoryThe Irishman

In passing A Star Is BornThe Sound of MusicGet OutAlmost FamousThe Card CounterCinderellaArmy of the DeadWolfwalkers

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

TV Ted LassoSeveranceWandaVisionWinning TimeEuphoria

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