Eighth Grade 2018
Won the WGA's Original Screenplay prize despite not being Oscar-nominated; Bo Burnham told the room to 'have fun at the Oscars, losers.'
The Big Picture · Discussion · Awards
The 2019 Oscars: Final Ballot Predictions | The Oscars Show (Ep. 128)
February 19, 2019/ 87 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins
Sean Fennessey and Amanda Dobbins rage about the Academy's mismanaged, shortened telecast, then run down the last of the guild winners and call all 24 Oscar categories five days before the 91st Academy Awards.
126 films across 2 segments.
AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.
Stock Up, Stock Down: The Last of the Guildsthe WGA, PGA, DGA, and SAG winners, five days out
Can You Ever Forgive Me? 2018
Took Adapted Screenplay at the WGAs over the actual Oscar favorite, The Favourite.
Green Book 2018
Won the Producers Guild prize; eight of the last ten PGA winners went on to win Best Picture.
Roma 2018
Won the DGA for Alfonso Cuarón, still the surest bet of the season.
Black Panther 2018
Took the SAG ensemble award; two trusted insiders now call this race Roma versus Black Panther versus Bohemian Rhapsody.
Bohemian Rhapsody 2018
Won the ACE Eddie and the Golden Globe (Drama); its cross-guild sweep is why the hosts start sensing an upset.
Our Final Ballot Predictions24 categories, five days before the ceremony
Best Visual Effects
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Border
- Mary Queen of Scots
- Vice Their pick
Best Animated Short Film
- Animal Behaviour
- Bao Their pick
- Late Afternoon
- One Small Step
- Weekends
Best Live Action Short Film
- Detainment
- Marguerite Their pick
- Mother
- Skin
Best Documentary Short Subject
Best Sound Mixing
- Black Panther
- Bohemian Rhapsody Their pick
- First Man
- Roma
- A Star Is Born
Best Sound Editing
Best Costume Design
- The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
- Black Panther Their pick
- The Favourite Sandy Powell
- Mary Poppins Returns Sandy Powell
- Mary Queen of Scots
Best Production Design
- Black Panther
- The Favourite Their pick
- First Man
- Mary Poppins Returns
- Roma
Best Film Editing
Best Cinematography
- Cold War Łukasz Żal
- The Favourite Robbie Ryan
- Never Look Away Caleb Deschanel
- Roma Alfonso Cuarón Their pick
- A Star Is Born Matthew Libatique
Best Original Score
- Black Panther Ludwig Göransson
- BlacKkKlansman Terence Blanchard
- If Beale Street Could Talk Nicholas Britell Their pick
- Isle of Dogs Alexandre Desplat
- Mary Poppins Returns Marc Shaiman
Best Original Song
- All the Stars Black Panther
- I'll Fight RBG
- The Place Where Lost Things Go Mary Poppins Returns
- Shallow A Star Is Born Their pick
- When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Language Film
- Capernaum
- Cold War
- Never Look Away
- Roma Their pick
- Shoplifters
Best Animated Feature Film
Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Ballad of Buster Scruggs Joel and Ethan Coen
- BlacKkKlansman Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee Their pick
- Can You Ever Forgive Me? Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty
- If Beale Street Could Talk Barry Jenkins
- A Star Is Born Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
Best Original Screenplay
- The Favourite Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara Their pick
- First Reformed Paul Schrader
- Green Book Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
- Roma Alfonso Cuarón
- Vice Adam McKay
Best Supporting Actress
- Vice Amy Adams
- Roma Marina de Tavira
- If Beale Street Could Talk Regina King Their pick
- The Favourite Emma Stone
- The Favourite Rachel Weisz
Best Supporting Actor
- Green Book Mahershala Ali Their pick
- BlacKkKlansman Adam Driver
- A Star Is Born Sam Elliott
- Can You Ever Forgive Me? Richard E. Grant
- Vice Sam Rockwell
Best Actor
- Vice Christian Bale
- A Star Is Born Bradley Cooper
- At Eternity's Gate Willem Dafoe
- Bohemian Rhapsody Rami Malek Their pick
- Green Book Viggo Mortensen
Best Actress
- Roma Yalitza Aparicio
- The Wife Glenn Close Their pick
- The Favourite Olivia Colman
- A Star Is Born Lady Gaga
- Can You Ever Forgive Me? Melissa McCarthy
Best Director
- BlacKkKlansman Spike Lee
- Cold War Paweł Pawlikowski
- The Favourite Yorgos Lanthimos
- Roma Alfonso Cuarón Their pick
- Vice Adam McKay
Best Picture
Also mentioned raised along the way
Named while relitigating last year's Best Picture race The Shape of WaterThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Blockbuster Best Picture comps TitanicAvatar
Oscar history they invoked MoonlightLa La LandGet OutManchester by the SeaSpotlightBirdmanDjango UnchainedDarkest HourThe RevenantThe Theory of EverythingDallas Buyers ClubLincolnThe ArtistDriving Miss DaisyThe Pianist
In the banter Jurassic ParkAlita: Battle AngelBirds of Passage
Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads
TV Mr. RobotTrue DetectiveSaturday Night Live
Award shows The GrammysThe Golden GlobesThe Writers Guild AwardsThe Producers Guild AwardsThe Directors Guild AwardsThe Screen Actors Guild AwardsThe ACE Eddie AwardsThe BAFTAs
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