The Big Picture · Awards
Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win and Should Win at the 2024 Academy Awards
March 7, 2024/ 90 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins
Two days before the 96th Academy Awards, Sean Fennessey and Amanda Dobbins run all 23 categories, will-win and should-win, with Oppenheimer set to run the table. They split on only three calls: the animated and documentary shorts, and Best Sound, where Dobbins takes The Zone of Interest over Oppenheimer. The should-win picks wander further, both making a case for Killers of the Flower Moon. Recorded before the ceremony, so Lily Gladstone is the Best Actress call and Maestro the makeup pick. They close by grading the wild predictions they made back in October.
120 films across 1 segment.
AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.
Who Will Win and Should Winall 23 categories · two days before the show
Best Original Score
- American Fiction Laura Karpman
- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny John Williams
- Killers of the Flower Moon Robbie Robertson
- Oppenheimer Ludwig Göransson Their pick
- Poor Things Jerskin Fendrix
Best Original Song
- The Fire Inside Flamin' Hot
- I'm Just Ken Barbie
- It Never Went Away American Symphony
- Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People) Killers of the Flower Moon
- What Was I Made For? Barbie Their pick
Best Documentary Short
Best Animated Short
Best Live Action Short
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Golda
- Maestro Their pick
- Oppenheimer
- Poor Things
- Society of the Snow
Best Sound
Best Cinematography
- El Conde Edward Lachman
- Killers of the Flower Moon Rodrigo Prieto
- Maestro Matthew Libatique
- Oppenheimer Hoyte van Hoytema Their pick
- Poor Things Robbie Ryan
Best Production Design
- Barbie Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
- Killers of the Flower Moon Jack Fisk, Adam Willis
- Napoleon Arthur Max, Elli Griff
- Oppenheimer Ruth De Jong, Claire Kaufman
- Poor Things James Price, Shona Heath, Zsuzsa Mihalek Their pick
Best Costume Design
- Barbie Jacqueline Durran
- Killers of the Flower Moon Jacqueline West
- Napoleon Janty Yates, Dave Crossman
- Oppenheimer Ellen Mirojnick
- Poor Things Holly Waddington Their pick
Best Visual Effects
Best Film Editing
- Anatomy of a Fall Laurent Sénéchal
- The Holdovers Kevin Tent
- Killers of the Flower Moon Thelma Schoonmaker
- Oppenheimer Jennifer Lame Their pick
- Poor Things Yorgos Mavropsaridis
Best International Feature
Best Documentary Feature
Best Animated Feature
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
- Anatomy of a Fall Their pick
- The Holdovers
- Maestro
- May December
- Past Lives
Best Supporting Actress
- Oppenheimer Emily Blunt
- The Color Purple Danielle Brooks
- Barbie America Ferrera
- Nyad Jodie Foster
- The Holdovers Da'Vine Joy Randolph Their pick
Best Supporting Actor
- American Fiction Sterling K. Brown
- Killers of the Flower Moon Robert De Niro
- Oppenheimer Robert Downey Jr. Their pick
- Barbie Ryan Gosling
- Poor Things Mark Ruffalo
Best Actor
- Maestro Bradley Cooper
- Rustin Colman Domingo
- The Holdovers Paul Giamatti
- Oppenheimer Cillian Murphy Their pick
- American Fiction Jeffrey Wright
Best Actress
- Nyad Annette Bening
- Killers of the Flower Moon Lily Gladstone Their pick
- Anatomy of a Fall Sandra Hüller
- Maestro Carey Mulligan
- Poor Things Emma Stone
Best Director
- Anatomy of a Fall Justine Triet
- Killers of the Flower Moon Martin Scorsese
- Oppenheimer Christopher Nolan Their pick
- Poor Things Yorgos Lanthimos
- The Zone of Interest Jonathan Glazer
Also mentioned raised along the way
In the banter Kung Fu Panda 4Despicable Me 4The Fall GuyCivil WarFair PlaySolo: A Star Wars StoryRules Don't ApplyLicorice PizzaNightmare AlleyThe MuleDune: Part TwoBabylonAll of Us StrangersWishTeenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant MayhemDìdi
Oscar history and near-misses they invoked TitanicSchindler's ListThe DepartedParasiteSlumdog MillionaireBlack PantherDarkest HourNopeSpirited AwayThe Taste of ThingsThe Monk and the GunThe Promised Land
Behind the song nominees Flamin' HotAmerican Symphony
Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads
TV The SympathizerHollywoodAliasAbbott Elementary
Podcasts The Press BoxWTF with Marc Maron