The Full Picture

The Big Picture · Awards · Interview

Introducing the Big Oscar Bet. Plus, A Halloween Mega-Mailbag.

October 27, 2023/ 121 min/ Sean Fennessey · Amanda Dobbins

Sean and Amanda turn the seventh Oscar season into a bet: five predicted nominees per category, a movie night on the line. Then Sean sits down with Alex Ross Perry for a Halloween mailbag that doubles as an autopsy of how movies get made.

80 films across 2 segments.

AI-generated This episode was transcribed and analyzed with AI models. The matches aren't perfect — expect the occasional misheard title or a link to the wrong film.

The Big Oscar Beteach host's five predicted nominees per category, 135 days out

Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Actress

Best Actor

Best Director

The Halloween mega-mailbaghorror, the strike, and why movies don't get made

The Sweet East poster
Alex Ross Perry on

The Sweet East 2023

Perry produced it: Sean Price Williams's directing debut, out Dec. 1 after a Cannes premiere. The peg for his tour of indie-film economics.

Her Smell poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Her Smell 2018

His 2018 feature, made for about $2.5 million; the five-year-later question he uses to explain why that model barely still exists.

Cat Person poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Cat Person 2023

His case study in Sundance hype gone cold: a title everyone chased in January, quietly dumped to a roughly $400 opening.

Fairyland poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Fairyland 2023

Another Sundance movie, Sofia Coppola producing, that he figures will never really be seen.

Eileen poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Eileen 2023

The counter-example: an Anne Hathaway thriller that took time to sell but landed at Neon, so it reads as a 'real' movie.

Messiah of Evil poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Messiah of Evil 1974

The Imprint Blu-ray he just watched, proof that a '70s deep cut is now easier to buy than a dead-stock studio title.

The Church poster
Alex Ross Perry on

The Church 1989

Michele Soavi horror, produced and co-written by Dario Argento; the Kim's Video tape he'd watched two nights before and loved.

Cemetery Man poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Cemetery Man 1994

Soavi's better-known film, name-checked to place The Church in his filmography.

Jane Austen in Manhattan poster
Alex Ross Perry on

Jane Austen in Manhattan 1980

Merchant Ivory's out-of-print experimental-theater film, a 1970s New York curio he calls the discovery of his year.

Also mentioned raised along the way

In the Oscar chatter The KillerSaltburnRustinPain HustlersThe Iron ClawGuardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3Jurassic World Dominion

Awards precedents Far From HeavenThe Mole AgentHoneylandLunana: A Yak in the ClassroomToni Erdmann

Horror in the mailbag The ExorcistThe Exorcist: BelieverHalloweenThe Hills Have EyesThe FogSuspiriaFast XTenet

Physical-media deep cuts The GroupThe Little MermaidQuartetThe EuropeansRoselandJefferson in ParisCODA

Not films filtered out: TV, games, ads

TV The BearHigh FidelityThe IdolThe Morning ShowSurvivorThe Amazing Race

Video games Marvel's Spider-Man 2Super Mario Bros. WonderAlan Wake 2Five Nights at Freddy'sAssassin's Creed MirageFIFA World Cup

Shorts The Skeleton DanceTrick or Treat

Podcasts Button MashBlank CheckJam SessionLife in Lyrics

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